BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO5
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamloss 2:3series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:3
Solo Teamwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Anti-Mageoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Drow Ranger
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Grimstroke
Shishak · 3 games
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
Pudge
Ubica · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
Venomancer
Ubica · 3 games
Axe
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
Solo Team
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Бебур · 6 games
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 4 games
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 4 games
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Dread · 3 games
Disruptor
Solo · 3 games
Largooften banned
Dread · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
547 picks · 335 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 572 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 233 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 359 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 495 bans
Jakiro
329 picks · 224 bans
Puck
325 picks · 850 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 810 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Solo Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:25
Recrent Team 40%Solo Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 36:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmasterkolya_kaBAN68
Nature's ProphetAlberkaaa
ClinkzSmiling Knight
UrsaiLTW
Skywrath MageRecrent
LargoDread
RubickShishak
AbaddonMelharucos
WarlockUbica
BaneSolo
Game 2prediction missed40:25
Recrent Team 43%Solo Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 41:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverSmiling Knight
TerrorbladeiLTW
Doomkolya_kaBAN68
PangolierAlberkaaa
GrimstrokeShishak
BatriderDread
Void SpiritRecrent
Vengeful SpiritMelharucos
VenomancerUbica
DazzleSolo
Game 3prediction correct22:52
Recrent Team 45%Solo Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 48:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistSmiling Knight
OmniknightiLTW
Tidehunterkolya_kaBAN68
Centaur WarrunnerDread
InvokerRecrent
Night StalkerAlberkaaa
TechiesShishak
Death ProphetSolo
ZeusUbica
Witch DoctorMelharucos
Game 4prediction missed41:33
Recrent Team 44%Solo Team 56%
The model gave 56% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 57:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerSmiling Knight
Phantom LanceriLTW
Primal Beastkolya_kaBAN68
SnapfireAlberkaaa
WindrangerRecrent
Legion CommanderDread
Dark WillowShishak
DawnbreakerSolo
Nyx AssassinUbica
PugnaMelharucos
Game 5prediction correct35:39
Recrent Team 44%Solo Team 56%
The model gave 56% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 44:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendSmiling Knight
LunaiLTW
Axekolya_kaBAN68
Sand KingDread
Keeper of the LightRecrent
SlardarAlberkaaa
LichUbica
SilencerMelharucos
Spirit BreakerShishak
OracleSolo
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 62%
Series resultSolo Team 2:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5