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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Solo Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

By_Owl Team

Snapfire
Snapfire
rostikfacekid · 5 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzle
by_Owl · 4 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Koma` · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rostikfacekid · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
by_Owl · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rostikfacekid · 3 games
67%

Solo Team

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Бебур · 6 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 3 games
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 3 games
33%
Lion
Lion
Бебур · 3 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Dread · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dread · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
545 picks · 333 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 572 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
437 picks · 233 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 358 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 494 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
331 picks · 224 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
318 picks · 811 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Solo Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:25
By_Owl Team 45%Solo Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Solo Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 48:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKoma`
52% · 156 games54% · 80 games
MagnusAlberkaaa
Magnus
Underlord
Underlordblindzone
41% · 143 games48% · 393 games
MarsiLTW
Mars
Pangolier
Pangolierreira
43% · 263 games63% · 346 games
SlardarDread
Slardar
Jakiro
Jakirorostikfacekid
51% · 283 games53% · 26 games
Witch DoctorMelharucos
Witch Doctor
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
34% · 36 games55% · 36 games
Winter WyvernSolo
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct18:42
By_Owl Team 47%Solo Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 50:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinKoma`
57% · 33 games48% · 184 games
MuertaiLTW
Muerta
Dark Seer
Dark Seerblindzone
43% · 107 games52% · 198 games
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Snapfire
Dark Willow
Dark Willowreira
49% · 209 games55% · 74 games
EnigmaDread
Enigma
Warlock
Warlockby_Owl
48% · 403 games52% · 204 games
AbaddonMelharucos
Abaddon
Windranger
Windrangerrostikfacekid
50% · 166 games52% · 258 games
Shadow DemonSolo
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct13:40
By_Owl Team 46%Solo Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerKoma`
51% · 38 games55% · 122 games
DoomiLTW
Doom
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerblindzone
46% · 147 games56% · 52 games
LargoDread
Largo
Death Prophet
Death Prophetreira
46% · 65 games50% · 166 games
BatriderAlberkaaa
Batrider
Marci
Marcirostikfacekid
49% · 138 games43% · 107 games
RubickSolo
Rubick
Venomancer
Venomancerby_Owl
54% · 96 games52% · 37 games
LichMelharucos
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 55%
Series resultSolo Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3