PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionOAOne and Doneloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HAVU Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One and Done
No games played over 6 months.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
410 picks · 658 bans
Mars
388 picks · 621 bans
Lion
386 picks · 358 bans
Techies
385 picks · 312 bans
Batrider
369 picks · 801 bans
Tiny
366 picks · 423 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 356 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 204 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 18%
Hero pool strength50% One and Done
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% One and Done
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne and Done · 69%
Series resultHAVU Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed