DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dark Horseloss 0:2series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dark Horse
Clockwerk
sheep · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
sheep · 5 games
Lion
sheep · 3 games
Techies
sheep · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
sheep · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
sheep · 1 game
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
sheep · 1 game
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
404 picks · 654 bans
Mars
387 picks · 618 bans
Lion
385 picks · 357 bans
Techies
380 picks · 311 bans
Batrider
365 picks · 796 bans
Tiny
361 picks · 416 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 561 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Dark Horse
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total90% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:23
Dark Horse 10%G2 Invictus Gaming 90%
The model gave 90% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 23:54.
Game 2prediction correct3:11
Dark Horse 10%G2 Invictus Gaming 90%
The model gave 90% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 13:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 90%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2