PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Morphlingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Muerta
Nishababy · 1 game
Sven
Nishababy · 1 game
Yangon Galacticos
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Void Spirit
Young PH · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Young PH · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
404 picks · 654 bans
Mars
387 picks · 618 bans
Lion
385 picks · 357 bans
Techies
380 picks · 311 bans
Batrider
365 picks · 796 bans
Tiny
361 picks · 416 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 561 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 26%Yangon Galacticos 74%
The model gave 74% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 2prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 26%Yangon Galacticos 74%
The model gave 74% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 74%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2