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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Pacific esportsloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Pacific esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
0%

Infinity Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
33%
Lina
Linaoften banned
PiPi · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 3 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 652 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
385 picks · 356 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 615 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
378 picks · 307 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
360 picks · 786 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
354 picks · 408 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
352 picks · 353 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
335 picks · 202 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Pacific esports 37%Infinity Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Pacific esports 37%Infinity Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 63%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2