BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Solo Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Nature's Prophet
zvёzd · 3 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Vovapain · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 2 games
Solo Team
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 5 games
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 3 games
Disruptor
Solo · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 3 games
Lion
Solo · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Dread · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
iLTW · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
546 picks · 331 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 571 bans
Rubick
435 picks · 232 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 492 bans
Jakiro
333 picks · 224 bans
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
Beastmaster
317 picks · 814 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total72% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:41
Stray Team 37%Solo Team 63%
The model gave 63% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 49:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerzvёzd
Void SpiritiLTW
NecrophosStray
Bounty HunterAlberkaaa
UnderlordDkFogas
Sand KingDread
RubickVovapain
SilencerMelharucos
Spirit Breakerbalod9l
ClockwerkSolo
Game 2prediction correct14:36
Stray Team 40%Solo Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 32:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muertazvёzd
Nature's ProphetiLTW
RazorStray
BeastmasterDread
Centaur WarrunnerDkFogas
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Shadow ShamanVovapain
VenomancerSolo
Ogre Magibalod9l
Vengeful SpiritMelharucos
Game 3prediction correct21:37
Stray Team 38%Solo Team 62%
The model gave 62% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 53:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursazvёzd
Queen of PainiLTW
BrewmasterDkFogas
MarciAlberkaaa
SniperStray
LargoDread
Techiesbalod9l
Elder TitanSolo
AbaddonVovapain
DazzleMelharucos
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 72%
Series resultSolo Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3