PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sand King Gomezwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Sand King Gomez
Shadow Demonoften banned
N1NE · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
H1j4ck · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Tusk
CHAAANNN · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Dark Willow
N1NE · 2 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
CHAAANNN · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
386 picks · 632 bans
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Mars
371 picks · 595 bans
Techies
370 picks · 304 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 758 bans
Vengeful Spirit
349 picks · 347 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 375 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 200 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Gods of Hell
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Sand King Gomez
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:40
Gods of Hell 29%Sand King Gomez 71%
The model gave 71% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez in 59:46.
Game 2prediction correct44:39
Gods of Hell 29%Sand King Gomez 71%
The model gave 71% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez in 36:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteSand King Gomez · 71%
Series resultSand King Gomez 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2