PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNTNot This Timeloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KKoT.Nextwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Not This Time
No games played over 6 months.
KoT.Next
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
386 picks · 627 bans
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Mars
371 picks · 590 bans
Techies
370 picks · 298 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 752 bans
Vengeful Spirit
349 picks · 344 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 368 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 198 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Not This Time
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Not This Time
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:31
Not This Time 54%KoT.Next 46%
The model gave 54% on Not This Time — the game was taken by KoT.Next in 21:45.
Game 2prediction missed6:42
Not This Time 54%KoT.Next 46%
The model gave 54% on Not This Time — the game was taken by KoT.Next in 21:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteNot This Time · 54%
Series resultKoT.Next 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2