BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Miposhka Teamloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Stray Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Miposhka Team
Lion
VooDooSh · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
VooDooSh · 2 games
Bane
Miposhka · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
VooDooSh · 2 games
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Drow Ranger
Mariachi · 2 games
Jakiro
VooDooSh · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Shachlo · 2 games
Stray Team
Nature's Prophet
zvёzd · 4 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 3 games
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
Tusk
Goodoq · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
545 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 571 bans
Rubick
434 picks · 230 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
358 picks · 488 bans
Jakiro
335 picks · 228 bans
Puck
320 picks · 851 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 817 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Miposhka Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Miposhka Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:35
Miposhka Team 64%Stray Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Miposhka Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 42:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomMariachi
Anti-Magezvёzd
KunkkaShachlo
SniperStray
WarlockVooDooSh
MarsDkFogas
Windrangerybicanoooobov
Hoodwinkbalod9l
Shadow ShamanMiposhka
Ancient ApparitionVovapain
Game 2prediction missed26:32
Miposhka Team 62%Stray Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Miposhka Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 39:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyMariachi
Lunazvёzd
AxeShachlo
RazorStray
Phoenixybicanoooobov
SlardarDkFogas
SilencerVooDooSh
JakiroVovapain
Dark WillowMiposhka
Ogre Magibalod9l
Model check result
Model favoriteMiposhka Team · 74%
Series resultStray Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2