PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSSSlomal Stiralkyloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Slomal Stiralky
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Hoodwink
queezy · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 6 games
Lion
queezy · 5 games
Marsoften banned
AfterLife · 5 games
Magnusoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Pudgeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Techies
Xakoda · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
383 picks · 619 bans
Lion
379 picks · 351 bans
Mars
370 picks · 583 bans
Techies
369 picks · 297 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 742 bans
Vengeful Spirit
348 picks · 342 bans
Tiny
335 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
329 picks · 198 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 37%
Hero pool strength57% Slomal Stiralky
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:30
Slomal Stiralky 35%One Move 65%
The model gave 65% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 32:58.
Game 2prediction correct4:22
Slomal Stiralky 35%One Move 65%
The model gave 65% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 15:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 65%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2