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DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ASAKURAloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ASAKURA

Pugna
Pugnasignature
Hduo · 18 games
72%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 18 games
72%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
laise · 17 games
59%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
laise · 17 games
59%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 16 games
81%
Techies
Techiessignature
Lil · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 14 games
64%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 13 games
54%

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
46%
Pugna
Pugna
queezy · 12 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 10 games
60%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 8 games
38%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 8 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
aik · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
378 picks · 350 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 595 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
361 picks · 554 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
360 picks · 286 bans
51%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
347 picks · 337 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
339 picks · 705 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
325 picks · 195 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
322 picks · 337 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:21
ASAKURA 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 47:25.
Game 2prediction correct18:29
ASAKURA 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 57%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2