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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Miposhka Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

By_Owl Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rostikfacekid · 5 games
80%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzle
by_Owl · 4 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rostikfacekid · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
rostikfacekid · 4 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptor
by_Owl · 3 games
33%
Doom
Doomoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
0%

Miposhka Team

Lion
Lion
VooDooSh · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VooDooSh · 2 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Shachlo · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Miposhka · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
VooDooSh · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
Miposhka · 2 games
100%
Tiny
Tiny
Mariachi · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
543 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 572 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
433 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 355 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 486 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
337 picks · 230 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 848 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
315 picks · 818 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Miposhka Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Miposhka Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:50
By_Owl Team 48%Miposhka Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Miposhka Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 55:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritreira
53% · 239 games57% · 11 games
Drow RangerMariachi
Drow Ranger
Weaver
WeaverKoma`
51% · 87 games49% · 186 games
Dragon Knightybicanoooobov
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand Kingblindzone
52% · 125 games49% · 153 games
PhoenixShachlo
Phoenix
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorby_Owl
49% · 13 games47% · 57 games
LionVooDooSh
Lion
44% · 57 games
Skywrath MageMiposhka
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction missed37:53
By_Owl Team 47%Miposhka Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Miposhka Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 1:07:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
Leshracreira
48% · 150 games53% · 163 games
Shadow FiendMariachi
Shadow Fiend
Muerta
MuertaKoma`
53% · 111 games43% · 3 games
Necrophosybicanoooobov
Necrophos
Dark Seer
Dark Seerblindzone
52% · 106 games45% · 28 games
Crystal MaidenVooDooSh
Crystal Maiden
Undying
Undyingby_Owl
46% · 121 game49% · 177 games
MarsShachlo
Mars
52% · 117 games
BaneMiposhka
Bane
Game 3prediction missed19:23
By_Owl Team 45%Miposhka Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Miposhka Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 46:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinKoma`
54% · 16 games48% · 72 games
LunaMariachi
Luna
Invoker
Invokerreira
55% · 99 games55% · 176 games
Tidehunterybicanoooobov
Tidehunter
Beastmaster
Beastmasterblindzone
51% · 267 games51% · 225 games
SlardarShachlo
Slardar
Warlock
Warlockby_Owl
47% · 262 games37% · 34 games
Ancient ApparitionVooDooSh
Ancient Apparition
51% · 137 games
EnchantressMiposhka
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteMiposhka Team · 57%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3