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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 1:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Solo Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Retsu · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Goodoq · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
Goodoq · 3 games
67%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
100%

Solo Team

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dread · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
9pasha · 2 games
0%
Lion
Lion
Solo · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dread · 2 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
iLTW · 2 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
iLTW · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
543 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 572 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
433 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 355 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 486 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
337 picks · 230 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 849 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
315 picks · 820 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total71% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:43
Stray Team 39%Solo Team 61%
The model gave 61% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 48:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetzvёzd
54% · 127 games54% · 103 games
WeaverDread
Weaver
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerDkFogas
45% · 110 games45% · 198 games
MuertaiLTW
Muerta
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightStray
46% · 203 games60% · 69 games
MagnusAlberkaaa
Magnus
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorVovapain
57% · 56 games49% · 230 games
AbaddonSolo
Abaddon
Phoenix
Phoenixbalod9l
47% · 177 games49% · 73 games
Nyx AssassinБебур
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction missed44:52
Stray Team 37%Solo Team 63%
The model gave 63% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 47:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusazvёzd
50% · 72 games53% · 51 game
SlarkiLTW
Slark
Mars
MarsDkFogas
54% · 254 games54% · 240 games
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Snapfire
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStray
47% · 223 games52% · 305 games
PangolierDread
Pangolier
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magibalod9l
46% · 32 games47% · 60 games
EnigmaSolo
Enigma
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeVovapain
39% · 81 game50% · 6 games
Witch DoctorБебур
Witch Doctor
Game 3prediction correct18:31
Stray Team 40%Solo Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 34:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
Huskarzvёzd
54% · 94 games50% · 179 games
WindrangeriLTW
Windranger
Wraith King
Wraith KingDkFogas
little data48% · 192 games
BristlebackAlberkaaa
Bristleback
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritStray
47% · 353 games48% · 175 games
UnderlordDread
Underlord
Warlock
Warlockbalod9l
49% · 368 games47% · 7 games
Vengeful SpiritБебур
Vengeful Spirit
Oracle
OracleVovapain
51% · 33 games56% · 295 games
Shadow DemonSolo
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 71%
Series resultSolo Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3