DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNGNext Generationloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LCLa Correntadawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Next Generation
No games played over 6 months.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
378 picks · 352 bans
Centaur Warrunner
364 picks · 586 bans
Mars
352 picks · 542 bans
Techies
352 picks · 274 bans
Vengeful Spirit
345 picks · 336 bans
Batrider
330 picks · 682 bans
Hoodwink
320 picks · 192 bans
Tiny
312 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Next Generation
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Next Generation
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:49
Next Generation 58%La Correntada 42%
The model gave 58% on Next Generation — the game was taken by La Correntada in 35:19.
Game 2prediction missed15:43
Next Generation 58%La Correntada 42%
The model gave 58% on Next Generation — the game was taken by La Correntada in 26:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteNext Generation · 58%
Series resultLa Correntada 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2