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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Eagleloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
the goal of all life is deathwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Eagle

Batrider
Batridersignature
Hara · 8 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Hara · 6 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
ukiyo · 5 games
40%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Manic · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Storm · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
Victoria · 3 games
67%

the goal of all life is death

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
omoxiloyi · 2 games
100%
Tusk
Tusk
omoxiloyi · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
omoxiloyi · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
omoxiloyi · 1 game
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
blessing · 1 game
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
blessing · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
383 picks · 355 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 571 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
348 picks · 522 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
346 picks · 336 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
341 picks · 268 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
323 picks · 653 bans
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
313 picks · 190 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
301 picks · 307 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% the goal of all life is death
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% the goal of all life is death
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:39
Eagle 47%the goal of all life is death 53%
The model gave 53% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death in 40:57.
Game 2prediction correct23:24
Eagle 47%the goal of all life is death 53%
The model gave 53% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death in 28:50.
Model check result
Model favoritethe goal of all life is death · 53%
Series resultthe goal of all life is death 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2