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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
JustBetterwin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Level UPloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

JustBetter

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 4 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Astral · 3 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Astral · 3 games
33%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Panda · 3 games
0%

Level UP

Tiny
Tinysignature
dEsire · 10 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
dEsire · 10 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
swedenstrong · 8 games
38%
Luna
Lunasignature
Focus · 8 games
63%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
dEsire · 7 games
43%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Bor@nija · 7 games
43%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 7 games
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 7 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
382 picks · 354 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 568 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
344 picks · 519 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 338 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
335 picks · 262 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
325 picks · 637 bans
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
313 picks · 187 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
300 picks · 296 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:21
JustBetter 52%Level UP 48%
The model gave 52% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter in 35:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 52%
Series resultJustBetter 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1