DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Barsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
OneJey · 8 games
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 7 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 7 games
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 7 games
Lion
Immersion · 6 games
Windrangeroften banned
RAMZES666 · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 5 games
Dark Willow
Immersion · 5 games
Team Bars
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 354 bans
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 564 bans
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 337 bans
Mars
342 picks · 518 bans
Techies
330 picks · 261 bans
Batrider
323 picks · 632 bans
Hoodwink
313 picks · 187 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 294 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Team Bars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HULIGANI 70%Team Bars 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 70%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1