DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
VCVKPlay Citizensloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 18 games
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 13 games
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
Tusk
aik · 11 games
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 10 games
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 9 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 9 games
VKPlay Citizens
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 354 bans
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 564 bans
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 337 bans
Mars
342 picks · 518 bans
Techies
330 picks · 261 bans
Batrider
323 picks · 632 bans
Hoodwink
313 picks · 187 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 294 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% VKPlay Citizens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 86%VKPlay Citizens 14%
The model gave 86% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 86%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1