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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team NextUploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
JANTER · 3 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 2 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 2 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Corrupted · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Corrupted · 1 game
0%

Team NextUp

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batridersignature
VaniLLl · 7 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Petushara · 5 games
40%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
jesv · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
383 picks · 354 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 564 bans
57%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 337 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
342 picks · 518 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
330 picks · 261 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
323 picks · 632 bans
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
313 picks · 187 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
300 picks · 294 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 72%Team NextUp 28%
The model gave 72% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 72%
Series resultNight Pulse 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1