?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Bleed Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Bleed Esports

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
JaCkky · 7 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 5 games
80%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
DJ · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
DJ · 5 games
60%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
DJ · 5 games
80%
Arc Warden
Arc Wardenoften banned
Mikoto · 4 games
75%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
Poloson · 4 games
75%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
384 picks · 353 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
346 picks · 534 bans
57%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 340 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
327 picks · 501 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
317 picks · 251 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
306 picks · 590 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
300 picks · 178 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 271 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% Bleed Esports
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total51% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:37
Bleed Esports 49%Blacklist International 51%
The model gave 51% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 54:21.
Game 2prediction correct10:26
Bleed Esports 49%Blacklist International 51%
The model gave 51% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 35:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 51%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2