Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 29 games
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 29 games
Windrangeroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 24 games
Crystal Maiden
RESPECT · 22 games
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
Batrideroften banned
RESPECT · 20 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 18 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
396 picks · 848 bans
Hoodwink
392 picks · 391 bans
Rubick
375 picks · 279 bans
Weaver
364 picks · 771 bans
Clockwerk
331 picks · 473 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 527 bans
Phoenix
322 picks · 661 bans
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 44%
Hero pool strength58% 1w Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
1w Team 72%beastcoast 28%
The model gave 72% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 19:15.
Game 2prediction correct34:32
1w Team 72%beastcoast 28%
The model gave 72% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 46:07.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 72%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2