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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 32 games
56%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 26 games
42%
Warlock
Warlock
Rein · 25 games
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 21 game
62%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 19 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 17 games
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
SSS · 17 games
53%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 39 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 36 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 25 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
644 picks · 695 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 456 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
497 picks · 416 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
435 picks · 290 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
427 picks · 411 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
404 picks · 1107 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
394 picks · 852 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 628 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:26
1w Team 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomv1olent-
43% · 89 games56% · 224 games
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Pangolier
Pangolierмистер мораль
48% · 160 games51% · 452 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Puck
PuckSquad1x
52% · 420 games46% · 67 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Rubick
Rubickswedenstrong
53% · 72 games51% · 15 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Warlock
WarlockRein
48% · 249 games50% · 232 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Game 2prediction correct9:23
1w Team 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingv1olent-
53% · 129 games39% · 316 games
Queen of PaingpK~
Queen of Pain
Underlord
Underlordмистер мораль
59% · 124 games46% · 338 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
50% · 239 games53% · 63 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Chen
ChenRein
58% · 108 games43% · 51 game
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
55% · 204 games49% · 36 games
MiranaSave-
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 74%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2