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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eSpoiledloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Munkushi~ · 20 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
47%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 17 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SSS · 16 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SSS · 13 games
77%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Munkushi~ · 13 games
62%

eSpoiled

Tusk
Tusk
Wein · 8 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Wein · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 6 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Wein · 6 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
ssnovv1 · 6 games
33%
Sven
Sven
ssnovv1 · 5 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wein · 4 games
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 539 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
446 picks · 493 bans
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
434 picks · 230 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
389 picks · 288 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
375 picks · 360 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
365 picks · 808 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
357 picks · 514 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 528 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1w Team 86%eSpoiled 14%
The model gave 86% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Game 2prediction correct
1w Team 86%eSpoiled 14%
The model gave 86% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 86%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2