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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 35 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 24 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 22 games
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
RESPECT · 21 game
67%

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
48%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
35%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
344 picks · 331 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
339 picks · 392 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 487 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
307 picks · 267 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 470 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 448 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% 1w Team
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total72% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:16
1w Team 62%Night Pulse 38%
The model gave 62% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 34:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaMunkushi~
47% · 69 games49% · 260 games
GyrocopterV-Tune
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
PangolierChira JUNIOR
51% · 264 games45% · 140 games
BeastmasterKami
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaCloud
55% · 94 games53% · 92 games
SniperWorick
Sniper
Batrider
Batriderswedenstrong
46% · 249 games58% · 51 game
OracleShishak
Oracle
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRESPECT
54% · 99 games48% · 232 games
LunaHduo
Luna
Game 2prediction correct32:17
1w Team 61%Night Pulse 39%
The model gave 61% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 40:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMunkushi~
52% · 155 games44% · 158 games
Vengeful SpiritV-Tune
Vengeful Spirit
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
55% · 73 games44% · 80 games
Sand KingKami
Sand King
Kunkka
KunkkaCloud
53% · 135 games52% · 107 games
SniperWorick
Sniper
Leshrac
Leshracswedenstrong
52% · 71 game41% · 186 games
Dark WillowShishak
Dark Willow
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenRESPECT
54% · 151 game57% · 54 games
OmniknightHduo
Omniknight
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 72%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2