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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 1:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Liquidwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 32 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 21 game
52%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 19 games
42%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 17 games
47%
Kez
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 15 games
73%
Largo
Largosignature
33 · 14 games
64%

Team Liquid

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 40 games
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 39 games
69%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 29 games
66%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
68%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 25 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Boxi · 24 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
509 picks · 357 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 426 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
346 picks · 619 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 476 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 603 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 343 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 216 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 52%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total66% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:25
1w Team 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by 1w Team in 46:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
49% · 113 games51% · 69 games
Monkey KingmiCKe
Monkey King
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
43% · 101 game55% · 204 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritbzm
54% · 136 games51% · 259 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
47% · 239 games49% · 118 games
Keeper of the LightBoxi
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAri
51% · 145 games51% · 84 games
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct17:42
1w Team 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautPure~
49% · 74 games50% · 491 game
TinymiCKe
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
52% · 85 games42% · 128 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
54% · 459 games48% · 146 games
DawnbreakerAce
Dawnbreaker
Tusk
TuskAri
50% · 525 games52% · 323 games
Shadow DemontOfu
Shadow Demon
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
52% · 267 games50% · 322 games
WindrangerBoxi
Windranger
Game 3prediction correct17:37
1w Team 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 47:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidPure~
55% · 57 games46% · 213 games
KezmiCKe
Kez
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner33
54% · 364 games47% · 121 game
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
55% · 333 games46% · 151 game
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAri
45% · 157 games50% · 254 games
Shadow DemontOfu
Shadow Demon
Mirana
MiranaWhitemon
52% · 102 games51% · 274 games
WindrangerBoxi
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 66%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3