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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 39 games
49%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 23 games
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Whitemon · 22 games
55%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
Rein · 20 games
60%
Kez
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 18 games
72%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 18 games
44%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
bzm · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
bzm · 17 games
53%

Team Nemesis

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 26 games
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 25 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jhocam · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Jabz · 20 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
4nalog · 19 games
68%
Techies
Techies
NARMAN · 15 games
47%
Windranger
Windranger
rubikon155 · 14 games
43%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Jabz · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
519 picks · 307 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
422 picks · 180 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
383 picks · 174 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 502 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
325 picks · 293 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 311 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 504 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 151 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total76% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:26
1w Team 64%Team Nemesis 36%
The model gave 64% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 38:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaPure~
53% · 102 games53% · 88 games
SvenJaCkky
Sven
Largo
Largo33
55% · 242 games45% · 91 game
DawnbreakerJabz
Dawnbreaker
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightbzm
51% · 229 games46% · 142 games
Earth SpiritKen
Earth Spirit
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorWhitemon
46% · 76 games52% · 539 games
HoodwinkNARMAN
Hoodwink
Windranger
WindrangerAri
47% · 304 games51% · 93 games
Nyx AssassinJhocam
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct0:0
1w Team 64%Team Nemesis 36%
The model gave 64% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 37:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoPure~
55% · 42 games49% · 253 games
TimbersawJabz
Timbersaw
Void Spirit
Void Spiritbzm
45% · 209 games52% · 192 games
UrsaJaCkky
Ursa
Largo
Largo33
58% · 208 games50% · 369 games
Dark WillowJhocam
Dark Willow
Windranger
WindrangerAri
46% · 283 games49% · 103 games
Witch DoctorNARMAN
Witch Doctor
Hoodwink
HoodwinkWhitemon
52% · 592 games47% · 417 games
PangolierKen
Pangolier
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 76%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2