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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 28 games
54%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
39%
Tusk
Tusksignature
swedenstrong · 26 games
62%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
мистер мораль · 21 game
62%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 20 games
40%

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
81%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
619 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
535 picks · 309 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 396 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
394 picks · 564 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
372 picks · 390 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 634 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 496 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
341 picks · 237 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total70% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:39
1w Team 40%Team Yandex 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 31:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidPure~
55% · 46 games62% · 12 games
LinaWatson
Lina
Largo
Largo33
59% · 174 games51% · 117 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritbzm
47% · 67 games54% · 136 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Lich
LichWhitemon
45% · 87 games51% · 64 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAri
39% · 179 games50% · 224 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct32:39
1w Team 38%Team Yandex 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:00:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painbzm
37% · 135 games52% · 35 games
Phantom LancerWatson
Phantom Lancer
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPure~
51% · 34 games55% · 238 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Axe
Axe33
49% · 120 games63% · 108 games
EarthshakerChira JUNIOR
Earthshaker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAri
35% · 83 games58% · 49 games
MiranaSaksa
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkWhitemon
44% · 119 games58% · 61 game
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 70%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2