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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 34 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 32 games
44%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 19 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
fy · 17 games
41%

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 46 games
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 29 games
83%
Phoenix
Phoenix
RESPECT · 28 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 24 games
42%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 23 games
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 22 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
518 picks · 357 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 423 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 636 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 475 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
318 picks · 174 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
312 picks · 348 bans
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
310 picks · 596 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
307 picks · 222 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:16
Xtreme Gaming 60%HULIGANI 40%
The model gave 60% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 48:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
53% · 46 games61% · 53 games
Svenssnovv1
Sven
Underlord
UnderlordXxs
45% · 193 games45% · 53 games
LinaMirage
Lina
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
52% · 281 game41% · 119 games
DawnbreakerCorrupted
Dawnbreaker
Mirana
Miranafy
44% · 88 games57% · 85 games
Winter WyvernRESPECT
Winter Wyvern
Elder Titan
Elder TitanxNova
62% · 28 games48% · 326 games
Tusksayuw
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct28:13
Xtreme Gaming 59%HULIGANI 41%
The model gave 59% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 38:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
52% · 254 games53% · 167 games
Terrorbladessnovv1
Terrorblade
Tiny
TinyAme
48% · 539 games52% · 76 games
Dark SeerCorrupted
Dark Seer
Pangolier
PangolierNothingToSay
46% · 515 games49% · 336 games
SlardarMirage
Slardar
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerfy
46% · 111 games49% · 554 games
HoodwinkRESPECT
Hoodwink
Mirana
MiranaxNova
53% · 139 games52% · 425 games
Tusksayuw
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 67%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2