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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
77%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 31 game
84%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 30 games
70%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 30 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 28 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
76%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 40 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 21 game
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 19 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
68%
Rubick
Rubick
not me · 19 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 17 games
35%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yatoro · 17 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
512 picks · 361 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 430 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 619 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 481 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 608 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 346 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
304 picks · 218 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 61%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total74% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:8
PARIVISION 63%Team Spirit 37%
The model gave 63% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 37:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
52% · 152 games42% · 76 games
Drow RangerYatoro
Drow Ranger
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
49% · 220 games57% · 137 games
DoomCollapse
Doom
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 121 game44% · 213 games
SlardarLarl
Slardar
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
48% · 179 games48% · 198 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernDukalis
56% · 114 games53% · 162 games
Ringmasternot me
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct28:17
PARIVISION 65%Team Spirit 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 53:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerSatanic
55% · 130 games39% · 80 games
Drow RangerYatoro
Drow Ranger
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 170 games53% · 162 games
LargoCollapse
Largo
Doom
DoomNoticed
52% · 273 games55% · 272 games
Ember SpiritLarl
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
45% · 216 games49% · 379 games
Hoodwinknot me
Hoodwink
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
45% · 267 games54% · 163 games
Ringmasterrue
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 74%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2