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Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team NextUploss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 12 games
42%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Solo · 9 games
44%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Antares · 8 games
38%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 8 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
kiyotaka · 7 games
71%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Solo · 7 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Solo · 7 games
14%
Sven
Sven
RAMZES666 · 7 games
57%

Team NextUp

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 8 games
38%
Batrider
Batridersignature
VaniLLl · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
jesv · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mirage · 4 games
75%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
7jesu · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
383 picks · 352 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
340 picks · 336 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
332 picks · 529 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
320 picks · 487 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
314 picks · 243 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
300 picks · 572 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
298 picks · 177 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
286 picks · 256 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
9Pandas 63%Team NextUp 37%
The model gave 63% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterDarkLord^
44% · 69 games61% · 160 games
Medusa7jesu
Medusa
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
44% · 246 games48% · 282 games
Storm SpiritMirage
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
41% · 143 games57% · 140 games
KunkkaMiyaoo
Kunkka
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
44% · 143 games60% · 224 games
MiranaVaniLLl
Mirana
Undying
UndyingSolo
46% · 205 games
Game 2prediction correct29:12
9Pandas 63%Team NextUp 37%
The model gave 63% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 26:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerDarkLord^
46% · 66 games57% · 202 games
Faceless Void7jesu
Faceless Void
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightkiyotaka
48% · 168 games60% · 166 games
Dragon KnightMirage
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
44% · 170 games51% · 86 games
RazorMiyaoo
Razor
Undying
UndyingSolo
41% · 182 games52% · 321 game
TechiesVaniLLl
Techies
Lion
LionAntares
47% · 189 games
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 76%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2