RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Natus Vincere Junior
Snapfire
Daze · 27 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Riddys · 23 games
Lion
Riddys · 21 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
gotthejuice · 17 games
Faceless Voidsignature
gotthejuice · 15 games
Pugna
Riddys · 15 games
Marcisignature
Daze · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 352 bans
Vengeful Spirit
337 picks · 332 bans
Centaur Warrunner
318 picks · 525 bans
Mars
314 picks · 463 bans
Techies
306 picks · 236 bans
Hoodwink
294 picks · 175 bans
Batrider
291 picks · 552 bans
Tiny
280 picks · 243 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:47
HAVU Gaming 17%Natus Vincere Junior 83%
The model gave 83% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 26:15.
Game 2prediction correct21:41
HAVU Gaming 17%Natus Vincere Junior 83%
The model gave 83% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 42:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 83%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2