RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Monteloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Monte
Vengeful Spirit
EcNart · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Enigmaoften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 5 games
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Slardaroften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
382 picks · 351 bans
Vengeful Spirit
338 picks · 332 bans
Centaur Warrunner
323 picks · 519 bans
Mars
313 picks · 459 bans
Techies
302 picks · 232 bans
Hoodwink
295 picks · 172 bans
Batrider
288 picks · 535 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 432 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 39%
Hero pool strength51% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:18
Dandelions 52%Monte 48%
The model gave 52% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 48:21.
Game 2prediction missed37:9
Dandelions 52%Monte 48%
The model gave 52% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 24:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2