?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zerowin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
KEVloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 9 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
iceice · 8 games
63%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
zzq · 6 games
67%
Muerta
Muertasignature
iceice · 6 games
83%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 6 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
7e · 5 games
80%
Jakiro
Jakiro
zzq · 5 games
40%
Lion
Lion
iceice · 5 games
40%

KEV

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ELeVeN · 3 games
100%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Undyne_ · 2 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ELeVeN · 1 game
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
flyfly · 1 game
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
384 picks · 350 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
338 picks · 328 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 518 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
311 picks · 456 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
300 picks · 229 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
289 picks · 170 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
284 picks · 528 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
282 picks · 428 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% KEV
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:7
Team Zero 56%KEV 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterpoyoyo
50% · 58 games53% · 184 games
Faceless Voidflyfly
Faceless Void
Razor
Razor7e
51% · 61 game55% · 67 games
BrewmasterELeVeN
Brewmaster
Mars
MarsBEYOND
43% · 140 games47% · 97 games
LeshracButterflyEffect
Leshrac
Batrider
BatriderPonlo
50% · 259 games50% · 301 game
TechiesUndyne_
Techies
Mirana
Miranazzq
50% · 131 game
Game 2prediction missed15:32
Team Zero 56%KEV 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Zero — the game was taken by KEV in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenpoyoyo
52% · 70 games48% · 209 games
PuckButterflyEffect
Puck
Doom
DoomBEYOND
58% · 98 games45% · 65 games
Troll Warlordflyfly
Troll Warlord
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit7e
54% · 155 games44% · 103 games
KunkkaELeVeN
Kunkka
Chen
ChenPonlo
61% · 43 games45% · 92 games
LichUndyne_
Lich
Terrorblade
Terrorbladezzq
51% · 103 games
Game 3prediction correct25:11
Team Zero 56%KEV 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 36:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunapoyoyo
53% · 133 games43% · 174 games
PuckButterflyEffect
Puck
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light7e
57% · 119 games47% · 161 game
Morphlingflyfly
Morphling
Razor
RazorBEYOND
49% · 67 games51% · 177 games
Primal BeastELeVeN
Primal Beast
Chen
Chenzzq
57% · 64 games48% · 47 games
LichUndyne_
Lich
Tiny
TinyPonlo
47% · 176 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 60%
Series resultTeam Zero 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3