RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
MOUZ
Sven
Ulnit · 2 games
Tiny
NARMAN · 2 games
Bane
bengan · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Force · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
Omniknightoften banned
Force · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
382 picks · 349 bans
Vengeful Spirit
338 picks · 326 bans
Centaur Warrunner
326 picks · 514 bans
Mars
310 picks · 446 bans
Techies
296 picks · 223 bans
Hoodwink
287 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 423 bans
Batrider
279 picks · 525 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:33
HAVU Gaming 16%MOUZ 84%
The model gave 84% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 42:21.
Game 2prediction correct17:38
HAVU Gaming 16%MOUZ 84%
The model gave 84% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 35:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 84%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2