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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 1:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Solo Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
0%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Егор · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axe
Егор · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
ChodΣX · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Егор · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
633 · 1 game
0%

Solo Team

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
9pasha · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
eternals · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Solo · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
eternals · 2 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dread · 2 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Solo · 2 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
Solo · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Нексюша · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
533 picks · 326 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 581 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 357 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
423 picks · 227 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 241 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 473 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 850 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 828 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:29
TpaBoMaH Team 46%Solo Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Solo Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 36:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusChodΣX
41% · 37 games50% · 108 games
LunaiLTW
Luna
Techies
TechiesTpaBoMaH
45% · 24 games47% · 17 games
ZeusAlberkaaa
Zeus
Mars
MarsЕгор
46% · 107 games54% · 191 game
Sand KingDread
Sand King
Jakiro
Jakiro633
50% · 189 games51% · 119 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
Phoenix
PhoenixFrostNova
54% · 94 games49% · 16 games
Witch DoctorБебур
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct18:48
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Solo Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 39:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackChodΣX
54% · 231 game51% · 134 games
Void SpiritiLTW
Void Spirit
Death Prophet
Death ProphetЕгор
52% · 48 games62% · 117 games
SlardarAlberkaaa
Slardar
Riki
RikiTpaBoMaH
43% · 19 games44% · 175 games
PangolierDread
Pangolier
Pugna
Pugna633
51% · 155 games52% · 9 games
Vengeful SpiritБебур
Vengeful Spirit
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenFrostNova
34% · 40 games49% · 58 games
LionSolo
Lion
Game 3prediction correct23:69
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Solo Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 36:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunter
TidehunterTpaBoMaH
42% · 184 games56% · 195 games
Shadow FiendiLTW
Shadow Fiend
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderChodΣX
41% · 9 games59% · 279 games
BatriderDread
Batrider
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerЕгор
49% · 300 games55% · 105 games
RazorAlberkaaa
Razor
Warlock
WarlockFrostNova
46% · 393 games55% · 78 games
Nyx AssassinБебур
Nyx Assassin
Grimstroke
Grimstroke633
45% · 39 games50% · 268 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 57%
Series resultSolo Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3