Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionSRSA Rejectloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
x5 Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SA Reject
No games played over 6 months.
x5 Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
379 picks · 346 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 322 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 501 bans
Mars
307 picks · 432 bans
Techies
287 picks · 212 bans
Hoodwink
281 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
277 picks · 423 bans
Batrider
271 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% SA Reject
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% SA Reject
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
SA Reject 55%x5 Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on SA Reject — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
SA Reject 55%x5 Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on SA Reject — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteSA Reject · 55%
Series resultx5 Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2