Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rest Farmerswin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Timebombloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Timebomb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 346 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 322 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 498 bans
Mars
303 picks · 430 bans
Techies
286 picks · 210 bans
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
275 picks · 420 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Rest Farmers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rest Farmers 64%Timebomb 36%
The model gave 64% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers.
Game 2prediction correct
Rest Farmers 64%Timebomb 36%
The model gave 64% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 64%
Series resultRest Farmers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2