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Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 9 games
44%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 8 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
zenica · 6 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
forcemajor · 6 games
33%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
zenica · 6 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
v1olent- · 6 games
83%

One Move

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 7 games
14%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ainkrad · 6 games
17%
Lion
Lion
queezy · 5 games
40%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
40%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Ainkrad · 4 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
AfterLife · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 346 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 322 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 498 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
303 picks · 429 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
286 picks · 210 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
275 picks · 419 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
270 picks · 498 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 35%
Hero pool strength63% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
Nemiga Gaming 59%One Move 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 42:16.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 59%One Move 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2