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Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Kaiserwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
50%
Sven
Sven
Mnz · 2 games
50%

Kaiser

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Valquiria · 3 games
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Argius · 3 games
33%
Bristleback
Bristleback
Valquiria · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Argius · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
d1smar · 2 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
TaO · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Cara · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 346 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 321 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 495 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
303 picks · 427 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
286 picks · 208 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
275 picks · 418 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
270 picks · 496 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Kaiser
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:10
Infinity Esports 54%Kaiser 46%
The model gave 54% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Kaiser in 35:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 54%
Series resultKaiser 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1