Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionGGameForceloss 0:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
One Movewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GameForce
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 8 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Lion
Gilgir · 5 games
Pudgeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
Slarkoften banned
v1olent- · 5 games
Warlock
Xakoda · 5 games
Earthshaker
Ainkrad · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 346 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 321 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 495 bans
Mars
303 picks · 427 bans
Techies
286 picks · 207 bans
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
275 picks · 418 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 496 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 32%
Hero pool strength54% GameForce
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:32
GameForce 35%One Move 65%
The model gave 65% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 30:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 65%
Series resultOne Move 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1