Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Darlengwin 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darleng
No games played over 6 months.
InterActive Philippines
Morphlingoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Muerta
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 344 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 491 bans
Mars
303 picks · 424 bans
Techies
286 picks · 203 bans
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
275 picks · 416 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 492 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Darleng
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Darleng
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:21
Darleng 75%InterActive Philippines 25%
The model gave 75% on Darleng — the game was taken by Darleng in 49:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteDarleng · 75%
Series resultDarleng 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1