Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Blue pikachuwin 1:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AAmrcansLeADSloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
Phoenixoften banned
Alren · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
Alren · 1 game
AmrcansLeADS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 343 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 486 bans
Mars
302 picks · 420 bans
Techies
286 picks · 202 bans
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
274 picks · 412 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% AmrcansLeADS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% AmrcansLeADS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Blue pikachu 42%AmrcansLeADS 58%
The model gave 58% on AmrcansLeADS — the game was taken by Blue pikachu.
Model check result
Model favoriteAmrcansLeADS · 58%
Series resultBlue pikachu 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1