Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AcatSukiwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
Rubick
Genek · 2 games
Spectreoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Sven
Mnz · 2 games
AcatSuki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 343 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 484 bans
Mars
301 picks · 415 bans
Techies
286 picks · 201 bans
Hoodwink
278 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
274 picks · 409 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% AcatSuki
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:26
Infinity Esports 55%AcatSuki 45%
The model gave 55% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by AcatSuki in 31:13.
Game 2prediction missed
Infinity Esports 55%AcatSuki 45%
The model gave 55% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by AcatSuki.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 55%
Series resultAcatSuki 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2