Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
JustBetterwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FRENCHSQUADloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
JustBetter
No games played over 6 months.
FRENCHSQUAD
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 342 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 478 bans
Mars
299 picks · 410 bans
Techies
284 picks · 199 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 157 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 408 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% JustBetter
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
JustBetter 62%FRENCHSQUAD 38%
The model gave 62% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Game 2prediction correct
JustBetter 62%FRENCHSQUAD 38%
The model gave 62% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 62%
Series resultJustBetter 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2