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Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
South Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
50%
Sven
Sven
Mnz · 2 games
50%

South Team

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ArzenT · 4 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
ArzenT · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
MonHty · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Wij · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Wij · 2 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Wij · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 342 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 319 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
326 picks · 476 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
298 picks · 406 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
283 picks · 198 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
276 picks · 155 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 407 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
269 picks · 479 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% South Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:27
Infinity Esports 50%South Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 41:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 50%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1