Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionBBBoonloss 0:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Blue pikachuwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BBoon
No games played over 6 months.
Blue pikachu
Phoenixoften banned
Alren · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
Alren · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 340 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 318 bans
Centaur Warrunner
325 picks · 473 bans
Mars
297 picks · 403 bans
Techies
282 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 152 bans
Pangolier
271 picks · 404 bans
Tiny
268 picks · 193 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% BBoon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% BBoon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:2
BBoon 53%Blue pikachu 47%
The model gave 53% on BBoon — the game was taken by Blue pikachu in 53:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBoon · 53%
Series resultBlue pikachu 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1