Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Barswin 1:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bars
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 20 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 14 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 14 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 13 games
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
Vengeful Spirit
Rein · 12 games
Puckoften banned
ряф^^ · 11 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 339 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 318 bans
Centaur Warrunner
323 picks · 474 bans
Mars
297 picks · 398 bans
Techies
280 picks · 195 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 151 bans
Pangolier
269 picks · 404 bans
Batrider
265 picks · 471 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed57:44
Team Bars 30%SIBE Team 70%
The model gave 70% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Team Bars in 1:00:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 70%
Series resultTeam Bars 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1