Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MANTA Esportswin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KOBOLDSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MANTA Esports
No games played over 6 months.
KOBOLDS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 339 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 318 bans
Centaur Warrunner
323 picks · 474 bans
Mars
297 picks · 398 bans
Techies
280 picks · 195 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 151 bans
Pangolier
269 picks · 404 bans
Batrider
265 picks · 470 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% MANTA Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% KOBOLDS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
MANTA Esports 49%KOBOLDS 51%
The model gave 51% on KOBOLDS — the game was taken by MANTA Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOBOLDS · 51%
Series resultMANTA Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1