?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shopify Rebellionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
76%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
79%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 13 games
54%

Shopify Rebellion

Lion
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 16 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
SabeRLight- · 13 games
62%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Cr1t- · 12 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 11 games
73%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 337 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
331 picks · 317 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 474 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
289 picks · 391 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
276 picks · 189 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 403 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
269 picks · 147 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
263 picks · 190 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 68%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:9
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Shopify Rebellion 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
52% · 93 games49% · 120 games
BloodseekerArteezy
Bloodseeker
Viper
ViperMieRo
45% · 28 games49% · 78 games
InvokerYopaj
Invoker
Timbersaw
TimbersawgpK~
45% · 151 game50% · 146 games
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 118 games53% · 202 games
BatriderThiolicor
Batrider
Tiny
TinySave-
49% · 156 games
Game 2prediction correct36:13
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Shopify Rebellion 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
49% · 160 games50% · 325 games
Ember SpiritYopaj
Ember Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
45% · 175 games49% · 142 games
LunaArteezy
Luna
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
50% · 255 games51% · 124 games
KunkkaSabeRLight-
Kunkka
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 141 game52% · 288 games
BatriderThiolicor
Batrider
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
49% · 148 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2